My timeframes are all minimum numbers - I.E. the dates by which I would give you 10 to 1 odds that they won't be beat. I don't have any insight into the maximu

My timeframes are all minimum numbers - I.E. the dates by which I would give you 10 to 1 odds that they won't be beat. I don't have any insight into the maximum time frames - but anybody who spends a lot of time watching the growth curve in robotics would agree that we aren't advancing very quickly in optical/visual feedback dexterity See: http://newsoffice.mit.edu/2014/fingertip-sensor-gives-robot-dexterity-0919 http://newsoffice.mit.edu/2014/fingertip-sensor-gives-robot-... for what is considered to be state of the art. The dates regarding generalized cleaning, come from having done a n analysis of the higher-level thinking that takes place when cleaning a room - its very, very impressive the level of analysis that needs to take place for anything but the most straightforward cleanup job. What's interesting of course, is that anybody can make pretty good predictions as to what dates won't be beat, but it's hard to guess when they will be. Whats awesome to think about, is once we have technology to do things like clean up a room, the vast majority of other robotic tasks, are going to fall very quickly.