Keep in mind, though, that when you buy a future, the price of that future already has expectations factored into it. It's very easy for individual traders to

Keep in mind, though, that when you buy a future, the price of that future already has expectations factored into it. It's very easy for individual traders to get slaughtered in the futures markets; you're essentially betting against other market participants, some of whom may have vastly better access to information than you do. I would be very wary in assuming that the market is underpricing something based on information in the Guardian; it's fair to assume other market participants read it as well, and the information has been built into the prices already by market makers.