3 ms·
People are also erroneously overrating things all the time. The problem with our predictions isn't a skew to negativity, just the normal inability to predict t
by pekk 12y ago
People are also erroneously overrating things all the time. The problem with our predictions isn't a skew to negativity, just the normal inability to predict the future due to lack of knowledge.
- krebby 12y agoThere's also a definite survivorship bias (and an equally strong failure bias) to remember only the outliers. Most ideas fall squarely in the middle and we promptly forget about them. (obligatory xkcd https://xkcd.com/1497/ https://xkcd.com/1497/)