4 ms·
That's not really the point of the thought experiment at all. And invoking randomness doesn't make the thought experiment easier, just more complicated. From th
by Houshalter 12y ago
That's not really the point of the thought experiment at all. And invoking randomness doesn't make the thought experiment easier, just more complicated. From the link someone posted above:
>(Incidentally, don’t imagine you can wiggle out of this by basing your decision on a coin flip! For suppose the Predictor predicts you’ll open only the first box with probability p. Then he’ll put the $1,000,000 in that box with the same probability p. So your expected payoff is 1,000,000p2 + 1,001,000p(1-p) + 1,000(1-p)2 = 1,000,000p + 1,000(1-p), and you’re stuck with the same paradox as before.)