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Flip this around and look backwards: how much exists from 1000BC–1000AD (using the "1,000 years to 3,000 years" figure cited by Cerf)? In popular knowledge, not
by basseq 12y ago
Flip this around and look backwards: how much exists from 1000BC–1000AD (using the "1,000 years to 3,000 years" figure cited by Cerf)? In popular knowledge, not much: Sun Tzu and Confucius, the Bible, the Kama Sutra, Homer, Virgil, Beowulf, Aristotle, Plato, Egyptian hieroglyphics. Machiavelli, Chaucer, and their peers around the time of Gutenberg are all "too late" in the 14th century.
These works survived because they were (presumably) important. Cultural understanding is important to anthropologists and shows up as well (e.g., graffiti at Pompeii). But how much is Crash Bandicoot going to matter in 3000AD? How wide will the cultural divide be? (What's a "computer"? What's a "button"?) What language will they speak?
Thus, the concern to me is less how we'll save everything, but more what are the important things to save? After all, the Iliad doesn't stand out among zetabytes of video games, cat pictures, and Kardashian re-runs.
Interesting aside: the Department of Energy is facing a similar, simpler challenge with the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste site. Namely, how do you create signage that will work (survive, be understandable) for 10,000 years? (http://www.salon.com/2002/05/10/yucca_mountain/ http://www.salon.com/2002/05/10/yucca_mountain/)
- iwwr 12y agoWell, it's also about the durability of the information medium. Clay tablets have survived remarkably well and they give us a better view into ancient Mesopotamia (particularly the ancient Ur-III dinasty) than later centuries' records kept as papyrus or strips of wood. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Dynasty_of_Ur https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Dynasty_of_Ur
- basseq 12y agoVery true. And the medium (among other factors, like literacy) has a self-selecting component: you're not going to take the time (money, etc.) to make clay tablets out of everything. There wasn't a clay-tablet-Twitter back in the Neo-Sumerian Empire. As modern medium becomes a) cheap, b) ubiquitous, and c) durable, there's no reason to "edit" ourselves. Maybe that's a good thing: it would give future anthropologists a treasure trove of information. But again, my concern is that we'll end up with so much quantity that the quality data/recordings/thinking get subsumed, and future humans think we worship cats. (All those photos! And captions! And videos! I for one bow to our feline overlords.)