Since this is the Internet, of course this has been done, several times: http://www.math.canterbury.ac.nz/~r.vale/got_290814.pdf http://www.math.canterbury.ac.

Since this is the Internet, of course this has been done, several times: http://www.math.canterbury.ac.nz/~r.vale/got_290814.pdf http://www.math.canterbury.ac.nz/~r.vale/got_290814.pdf http://allendowney.blogspot.com/2015/03/bayesian-survival-analysis-for-game-of.html http://allendowney.blogspot.com/2015/03/bayesian-survival-an...