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A derived blog post by Sam Altman: http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions
by asadlionpk 12y ago
A derived blog post by Sam Altman: http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions
- chubot 12y agoInteresting that at least one prediction is too optimistic: Bitcoin is definitely going to be trading at $10,000 or more and in wide use by the end of 2014. - Many otherwise smart people, November of 2013 And I have to comment on: Superhuman machine intelligence is prima facie ridiculous. - Many otherwise smart people, 2015 It's not prima facie ridiculous, but the more common error is to take it for granted. I just don't like it when people start to make predictions about the future based on technology uploading brains to computer or simulating the universe (which was done in the book "Superintelligence" which I just read). It's far from obvious that those things are even possible.