Or maybe -- he posted something that the fact of his posting it revealed he actually intuitively knew it was bunk. See "Belief in belief", which is right near

Or maybe -- he posted something that the fact of his posting it revealed he actually intuitively knew it was bunk. See "Belief in belief", which is right near the beginning of the first sequence.... http://lesswrong.com/lw/i4/belief_in_belief/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/i4/belief_in_belief/ It should have been obvious to Roko that either it was a worthless idea (in which case he was safe to post it... but shouldn't, because it's worthless); the other case was that it was a serious, valid idea, in which case he obviously should not post it.