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A self-driving car that can only do highways and can't drive in bad weather still destroys the trucker industry overnight. And that is today. No, I'm not drink

by zanny 12y ago

A self-driving car that can only do highways and can't drive in bad weather still destroys the trucker industry overnight. And that is today. No, I'm not drinking the AI koolaid here thinking there will be some breakout solution to fuzzy visibility problems these cars have. The difficulty differentiating contextual moving objects correctly, knowing what is "safe" debris and what is not, etc, are all neural net problems that will take years of development and even then just be heuristics. But you don't really need all that. All you need is something that, given a sunny day and a highway, beats the human at driving the truck, and suddenly you lose three million jobs when it hits the market.

vinceguidry 12y ago
It's going to be awhile before they can actually eliminate the human. They've had self-driving tankers and self-driving airplanes for awhile now, they still need human operators for various reasons. They just don't have to actually drive.
krapp 12y ago
>All you need is something that, given a sunny day and a highway, beats the human at driving the truck, and suddenly you lose three million jobs when it hits the market. I don't see how, given a sunny day and a highway, an autonomous vehicle can quantifiably beat a human driver to the degree of 'destroying the trucker industry overnight.' Unless you're assuming that there are few human drivers capable of managing a trip down a highway under the best possible conditions, the results between the two would have to be more or less equal. Those human drivers can, meanwhile, still manage night, sleet, snow, fog, and arbitrary backroads and detours.
renox 12y ago
> A self-driving car that can only do highways and can't drive in bad weather still destroys the trucker industry overnight. Destroying the trucker industry with a self-driving car which can't drive in bad weather?? I don't think so! Trucker's clients usually care a lot about predictability, and they would NOT be happy to hear "sorry it is raining and the robot car couldn't arrive".

by zanny 12y ago

vinceguidry 12y ago

It's going to be awhile before they can actually eliminate the human. They've had self-driving tankers and self-driving airplanes for awhile now, they still need human operators for various reasons. They just don't have to actually drive.

krapp 12y ago

>All you need is something that, given a sunny day and a highway, beats the human at driving the truck, and suddenly you lose three million jobs when it hits the market. I don't see how, given a sunny day and a highway, an autonomous vehicle can quantifiably beat a human driver to the degree of 'destroying the trucker industry overnight.' Unless you're assuming that there are few human drivers capable of managing a trip down a highway under the best possible conditions, the results between the two would have to be more or less equal. Those human drivers can, meanwhile, still manage night, sleet, snow, fog, and arbitrary backroads and detours.

renox 12y ago

> A self-driving car that can only do highways and can't drive in bad weather still destroys the trucker industry overnight. Destroying the trucker industry with a self-driving car which can't drive in bad weather?? I don't think so! Trucker's clients usually care a lot about predictability, and they would NOT be happy to hear "sorry it is raining and the robot car couldn't arrive".