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It is fascinating to read about all these thinking failure modes - but my own (very tentative) takeaway from that book was that there is no one way of thinking
by zby 12y ago
It is fascinating to read about all these thinking failure modes - but my own (very tentative) takeaway from that book was that there is no one way of thinking that is appropriate everywhere, that if many people are failing in a particular way in one simulation game - then there is probably another game where their way of thinking would be the winning strategy.
- lovemenot 12y agoYour comment seems to encapsulate the thinking process found to be effective in the experiment. E.g. You say: very tentatively ... there is probably another game ... Such measured language suggests that you'd try to test your hypotheses, given the opportunity.
- zby 12y agoWell - there was another game described in that book (but not in that linked article) where it was better to act quickly upon any tentative hypothesis instead of gathering data first and doing much testing.
- triplesec 12y agoOn the other hand, the thinking process found to be effective appears to be more recursive, and the failure thinking modes seemed to be less so: less data driven, less flexible in their handling of feedback, and so on. I might suggest that this article/research sets out a meta-thinking process, a second-order thinking process if you like (akin to second-order moral principles: another level of abstraction), compared with many other more narrow, less flexible, less recursive and more simply rule-driven than this.