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At the most recent annual shareholders meeting: Question: What is your latest outlook on the dollar given what's been thrown up in the air in the last 6 months
by hop 17y ago
At the most recent annual shareholders meeting:
Question: What is your latest outlook on the dollar given what's been thrown up in the air in the last 6 months?
Buffett: It's pretty unpredictable. I guarantee you the dollar will buy less 10-20 years from now. But we are doing things that will hurt the purchasing power of the dollar. On the other hand the same thing is happening in different countries around the world. The British will run a deficit of 12 and a fraction percent of GDP. Even the Germans will run a deficit of 6 and a fraction GDP. You've got governments around the world all electing to run very material deficits. Electiing to do that to offset the contraction demand. How that plays out in relative exchange rates - I can't tell you. In terms of currency's purchasing power in the future - it's going to cause units of currency to buy a lot less.That isn't gonna happen in the next year or two. Doesn't mean markets won't start anticipating it at some point. We are doing things that we havne't seen in the past. And policy makers do not know the outcome and I don't know the outcome. You do know it will have consequences and you can bet on inflation.
Munger: I remember the 2 cent first-class stamp and the 5 cent hamburger. In my life I think I've had the most privileged era to live. The trick is to avoid runaway inflation.
[http://j.mp/3z6gpr http://j.mp/3z6gpr]
- sethg 17y agoAs I understand it, most economists (certainly, most economists whose opinions matter to central bankers) believe that a small rate of inflation, perhaps 1-2% annually, is a Good Thing, since it encourages savers to invest in productive companies rather than just stuffing greenbacks under their mattresses. So "I guarantee you the dollar will buy less 10-20 years from now" is a pretty safe bet, regardless of the general political and economic situation.