The point I made regarding uniform students was to emphasize that admissions committees admit students based on the profile they want the class to look like and

The point I made regarding uniform students was to emphasize that admissions committees admit students based on the profile they want the class to look like and not just on the individual merits of the student themselves. I think this is an important point that often gets overlooked by applicants. Good points about the demographic trends. I'm still not very convinced. The points you raised are just as speculative as mine. True a higher % of hs students may be going to college, but is that rate of increase faster than the rate of decline in the total number of applicants? In a few years the bottom will fall out, can the % of hs students attending college rise to meet that gap? I see your point about the trend in international students. Though I find it doubtful that any elite US school will ever have more than 10-20% of their class be composed of non-US students.