4 ms·
If we accept the exponential waiting time model, then another term for this phenomenon is Poisson clumping: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_clumping http:/
by rawnlq 12y ago
If we accept the exponential waiting time model, then another term for this phenomenon is Poisson clumping: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_clumping http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_clumping.
I think one intuitive way to explain it is if you're flipping some biased coin continuously, then if someone walks in, you are more likely to currently be in a long streak and have stuff clump afterwards. For exampling flipping a coin with probability 1/60 of heads each minute for an hour (so average wait time should be 10 mins):
> ''.join('H' if random.randint(1, 10) == 10 else 'T' for i in xrange(60))
'TTTHTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTHTHTTTTTTTTTTTHTTTTTTTTTTHTTTH'
- mungoman2 12y agoThis sounds interesting, but I don't understand. "if someone walks in, you are more likely to currently be in a long streak and have stuff clump afterwards" What does that mean?