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Why 40-Year Old Tech Is Still Running America's Air Traffic Control
- emodendroket 12y agoIt's not entirely clear to me that they're wrong to move slowly on this.
- collyw 12y agoAgreed. If it ain't broken don't fix it.
- saosebastiao 12y agoIt's not broken in the "regularly kills people" sense, which is good. It is broken in the "inefficient and capacity limited" sense, which means flights cost more, have fewer departures when demand is highest, and we are still stuck with human air traffic controllers doing the most stressful aspects of the job, causing high turnover and, when they walk out on strike, airport shutdowns.
- crpatino 12y agoAnd what's exactly wrong with that??? All that means that it's crystal clear to Upper-Management that air traffic control is Hard!, and it must be properly resourced. It makes me feel safer (even if probably more risky due to human error). The minute automation comes in, an army of Crazy! PMs will begin to demand that everything has to be done due Thursday evening, so QA can test over the weekend, and then the Bean-Counters come in and slash every specification of hardware because its not quote-Efficient!-unquote. Would you really want to fly in a world like that????
- unreal37 12y agoAlso, the original article mentions a contractor who committed suicide by taking down the Chicago ATC system. Isn't suicide a leading cause of death in air traffic controllers as well? Perhaps the systems aren't working so great now given the real human cost.
- somerandomone 12y agoI would argue it is broken. >It can handle a limited amount of traffic, and controllers can't see anything outside of their own airspace—when they hand off a plane to a contiguous airspace, it vanishes from their radar. To me there's no way to tell if the plane flies out of their space or drops out of the sky at that moment. If that's the case the search and rescue won't be better had MH370 happened in the US.
- Someone1234 12y agoEven with this new system MH370 could happen to an aircraft leaving the US. Both the pacific and atlantic oceans have giant radar black spots where aircraft aren't trackable and instead they rely on HF to guestimate where aircraft are [0]. [0] http://www.technologyreview.com/news/533871/could-passenger-planes-be-tracked-more-closely/ http://www.technologyreview.com/news/533871/could-passenger-...
- foldr 12y ago>To me there's no way to tell if the plane flies out of their space or drops out of the sky at that moment. The problem there is primary radar coverage, not the ATC system. (MH370 turned off its transponder so the only way to detect it was via primary radar.) There's no point in spending huge amounts of money expanding primary radar coverage just to get a marginal benefit in an enormously unlikely scenario.
- drzaiusapelord 12y agoWho gets to define broke? How about the tax dollars paying for legacy equipment, legacy labor, etc? How about the lack of an uprade path and current limitations being permanent? I inherited a system from a guy with this mentality. I had a rack of 12 year old Solaris boxes in production running software almost as old. It was a complete nightmare. Part of things not being "broke" is making sure they work well into the future as well. You're just building up a massive technical debt with a "aint broke" mentality.
- emodendroket 12y agoSomething like air traffic control has a much, much higher potential cost for software bugs than most applications do and, unfortunately, that also means a much slower upgrade cycle.
- fennecfoxen 12y agoMoving somewhat slowly is fine, but 40 years (going on 50) may be excessive. And as long as it adds hassle and expense to air travel, it means people will be more likely to drive and in turn to get in car accidents. (Of course, those lives aren't on the FAA scorecard, so they obviously don't matter. They probably don't even fly first class. </snark>) And it would be very handy in a variety of cases for "one air traffic control center to take over for another with the flip of a switch".
- khuey 12y agoThose sorts of issues are on the FAA radar. Convincing families to fly on vacation instead of driving is basically the only justification for the infant-in-arms rule.
- wglb 12y agoDuplicate of https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9105363 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9105363
- Someone1234 12y ago> The agency is primarily a regulatory body, responsible for keeping the national airspace safe, and yet it is also in charge of operating air traffic control, an inherent conflict that causes big issues when it comes to upgrades. There's no conflict there. Now NSA meant to keep US infrastructure safe, and attack US companies/people is a conflict. But the FAA being responsible for both safety and ATC is far from a conflict. I'd prefer the FAA moved slowly and got it right. This isn't an area where young-hip 20 somethings re-invented the tech' in the latest web-2.0 fad. This is an area where you want mathematically provable correctness and unit testing up the ying-yang. Get it right slow, don't get it wrong fast.
- mikeash 12y agoIsn't safety the whole point of ATC? Planes don't need ATC to get from place to place. They need ATC to keep them from bumping into each other while they do it. How is it anything but safety?
- Fuxy 12y agoI completely agree with you safety should never be compromised just for the sake of modernization however when it takes 40 years to upgrade you're doing it wrong. There should be ways of introducing new tech and features while slowly fading out the old ones however you don't switch from one to the other until it has been reasonably field tested. One problem is they went to a defense contractor to build software instead of a software company. I'm sure their software is great in their spy airplanes where it will never see the light of day and you can cover it up if it fails majorly however I wouldn't want it in the air traffic control computer.
- Someone1234 12y ago> One problem is they went to a defense contractor to build software instead of a software company. Devil's advocate here: Most software companies simply aren't up to the task. They're just not suited to building provable software from design through implementation often requiring the use of functional languages. If you look at who does most aircraft software (or similar safety systems) it is mostly by certified engineers who just happen to "engineer" in software, rather than programmers who try to be engineers. I'm a programmer, I am not ashamed of that. But realistically the way I work is in no way transferable to a safety critical system. In that situation every single function needs to have a unit test, it needs to have reliable input and output, and ideally it needs to self-identify hardware-caused undefined state and fail-safe.
- Spooky23 12y agoWhy is it there? It exists, and it works. Replacing big systems like this is incredibly difficult and expensive. Personally, I think some of the old, expensive tech like ground based radar is a better solution than using GPS. End of the day, we're over-dependent on GPS, the system is very vulnerable to attack, and any disruption of it would global and catastrophic, while ground-based stuff is at least somewhat localized. The MH370 case is a red herring IMO. Say we knew where that plane crashed. What does it mean? Everyone's dead in any case, and the details of precisely what happened doesn't necessarily offer a great deal of value.
- MAGZine 12y agoIn fact, the simplicity of the older systems usually lead to greater stability. Not to mention that systems based on pieces of different ages (as is the case during upgrades) is likely much more unreliable, because you do not know how the equipment will interact with each other. Take for example Vancouver's Skytrain. Last year, there was a failure of some equipment that resulted in a system-wide shutdown. Media got in and was appauled that Skytrain still uses equipment run on floppies. The old software/hardware wasn't what broke down, though--it was some NEW equipment more recently installed to manage the PA system. Why fix what ain't broke? ESPECIALLY when people's lives are on the line.
- drzaiusapelord 12y ago>In fact, the simplicity of the older systems usually lead to greater stability. Remember when that control tower in Chicago got attacked by some crazed employee? Do you know why there isn't just a simple DR switch over? Because the system is so antiquated, something like that is too problematic to implement. Thus all the cancelled flights for a week at the world's busiest airport. >ESPECIALLY when people's lives are on the line. Its more risky to have a pig with lipstick system run by COBOL graybeards one foot in the grave than to run things properly in a modern system with modern redundancy and modern features. Last I heard, the code that runs many of these systems is non-auditable because its just a pile of spaghetti code on top of spaghetti code. Its "works" in the same way an 80 year lady on her third hip can "walk."
- strictnein 12y agoMy experience with trying to get even small tech things approved by the FAA: It will take at least a year and you will never know what stage you're at. Basically, once enough people have breathed on your request, it will be approved, assuming they can find absolutely nothing wrong. If they do, you get to start over. If you build enough rapport with some of the workers there then they will actually respond to your emails in a relatively timely fashion, otherwise you'll be completely in the dark. Once every so often you find someone who actually responds quickly and does their job well. You guard that person's contact information and only give it to people you trust. To be quite blunt, almost everyone you encounter intends to be a lifer at the FAA and knows that simply sticking around will almost guarantee them higher pay and a fairly decent retirement package. There is zero upside for them.
- drzaiusapelord 12y agoThis is the problem with making government jobs unionized or making them overly-cush jobs. I was talking to someone about benefits and he listed his federal benefits. I was floored. He also claimed he's more or less unfireable. I don't know how the federal government gets anything done and when it does get done, it gets done over-budget and incorrectly.(Obamacare website is probably a good example here) They're playing retirement min-max'er and I'm playing honest citizen. They're winning at the expense of us all.
- afarrell 12y agoObamacare's site wasn't built by federal employees--it was built by contractors.
- drzaiusapelord 12y agoThat's still the same problem. These federal employees chose and managed those contractors. The ultimate responsibility falls on them.
- emodendroket 12y ago
- kens 12y agoAccording to Wikipedia [1], the FAA's Host system was upgraded in 1999 to IBM 9672 computers, so the computers aren't that old. It seems inaccurate to call this a 40 year old system when the computers are less than 20 years old. As for the original IBM 9020 computers running Host, these were IBM 360 variants. The technology in these computers is interesting - instead of newfangled ICs, the computers were built from SLT modules. These are metal modules kind of like an integrated circuit, except there's a small circuit board inside with discrete transistors, diodes, and printed resistors. (I was looking at some SLT modules yesterday.) [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_9020 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_9020
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]
- Jtsummers 12y agoMy office has 30-40 year old systems running on 10 year old hardware. We don't claim that the system is 10 years old, because all we did was move from VAX hardware to VAX VMs.
- steego 12y agoIf you don't feel like reading the whole thing, here's the gist: Another government contractor (Lockhead Martin) fucks up now it's the FAA's fault for having standards. My one experience working on a government contract was positive. Basically the government set a deadline, some basic performance metrics and added clauses that fined us if we didn't meet those performance metrics. If were early and/or exceeded those metrics, we got a bonus. The end result was simple: Our company did everything it could to make sure we met the deadline and we delivered a quality solution. How much do you want to bet that a big company like Lockhead Martin is really good at using its political leverage to make sure the FAA doesn't impose fines in the contracts when projects don't perform up to key metrics?
- Jtsummers 12y ago> How much do you want to bet that a big company like Lockhead Martin is really good at using its political leverage to make sure the FAA doesn't impose fines in the contracts when projects don't perform up to key metrics? Ding ding ding! I watched Northrop do exactly that on a system. They used their clout to persuade the program office on a system to rate them more favorably than they deserved (truly, they were consistently delivering late but ended up with positive marks across the board). Fortunately, this resulted in a big shakeup once it was discovered and reported. Unfortunately, NG continued to hold the contract (no one else could, practically speaking) and all that really changed was the personnel in the program office. I was gone by the time thing got "fixed" so I have no idea if it's actually improved on that particular project.
- aburan28 12y agoThe project specifications demanded by the FAA are absolutely ludicrous. This is not the F35 program.
- steego 12y agoI honestly can't comment on the specifications, but seeing how you're familiar with them, can you elaborate? What makes them ludicrous? How would you structure the specifications to be more reasonable? How would you layout the incentive structure to ensure the contractor delivers a safe, secure and reliable system?
- stcredzero 12y agoI suspect this article is saying lots of things that are true or mostly true, but with fluffy or nonexistent justifications. As pointed out by kens, the hardware is actually 20 years old, not 40. Think of Uber, Lyft, and Airbnb: Outdated regulations slowed them down, but consumer demand is forcing the law to evolve. This back-and-forth is what lets tech companies move fast and break things without risking our safety. As it is for those companies, it was also with early aerospace: Risks weren't eliminated. Rather, at first, risks were sequestered to advantageous subpopulations and taken by volunteers who, in theory, understood what they were about to do. These issues screwed up HealthCare.gov and are screwing up the Department of Veterans Affairs and a dozen other agencies that need computers and software that work. Probably true but lacks substantiation in this article. To the author's credit, she's not a free market cultist in this article, and points out that other countries have better government managed air traffic control.
- ufmace 12y agoSounds like a lot of the conflict is the old Agile vs Waterfall debate. Waterfall isn't very well regarded in the software engineering community, but it seems to work much better in the Aerospace community, especially for stuff like flight control avionics. I think the difference is that Waterfall is actually a better solution - as long as you actually know all of your requirements ahead of time, and they will actually never change. This may be the case in for embedded stuff like avionics, but is almost never actually the case for more business-like software that automates or assists with human processes, which is what Air Traffic Control actually is. So it kinda sounds like they used a traditional aerospace Waterfall project plan, but the requirements gathering was a total fail. Sounds like they need a team more experienced in Agile development, even though it has more of a reputation for putting things into production before they've been really carefully tested. Of course, this is based off a lot of shaky assumptions from a vague article, so who knows.
- knz 12y agoI didn't see anything in the article about how political concerns over technology such as RNAV (http://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/publications/atpubs/aim/aim0102.html http://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/publications/atpubs/aim/aim01...) have held back the transition to a nextgen system. I work at an airport where community concern over any potential changes to where aircraft fly has held back implementation of new technology that would make the whole process more efficient. My understanding is that many other major airports in the US face similar community and political issues about RNAV. I suspect this has also had a major role in the delay of the nextgen roll out.
- aburan28 12y agoA close family member of mine is one of the project leads on this nextgen program and their is little to no concept of security built into this program. There are so many points of failure and data integrity is based upon non-crypto hash functions such as fletcher 32 bit.
- zb 12y agoNote that this is the FAA's second attempt to replace the system. The first one, in the 1980s, went even worse - one participant called it "the greatest failure in the history of organised work": http://www.baselinemag.com/c/a/Projects-Processes/The-Ugly-History-of-Tool-Development-at-the-FAA/ http://www.baselinemag.com/c/a/Projects-Processes/The-Ugly-H...
- tezzer 12y agoIt's also the disaster that kicked off the field of software engineering. They looked at the mess and thought maybe there should be a formalized approach to doing something this vast in software.
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]
- lisa_henderson 12y agoRobert L. Glass has compiled a book of entertaining and instructive stories regarding the massive software project failures of our time: http://www.amazon.com/Software-Runaways-Monumental-Disasters/dp/013673443X/sr=8-1/qid=1159840036/ref=pd_bbs_1/104-9702378-8654315?ie=UTF8&s=books http://www.amazon.com/Software-Runaways-Monumental-Disasters... Software Runaways: Monumental Software Disasters. Anyone with an interest in the management of software projects should read it. The worst of these project failures, the most expensive and the most ambitious, was the attempt made by the Federal Aviation Authority to modernize the computer system it uses to keep track of what planes are in the air. The effort began in 1981 and ended in complete failure in 1994. The government hired IBM to do the actual work, and over the course of 14 years, IBM burned through $3.7 billion dollars. Nothing was accomplished. The project was finally shut down by Congress. Nothing came out of the project, not a single piece of software, nor even a line of code, was ever used for anything. From the book: It has been noted by everyone from the New York Times to the Vice-President of the United States that the main problem on the Advanced Automation System was "changing requirements". For those involved in large-scale computer systems, that is nothing new. No one can perfectly surmise the shape and feel of a system years in advance. Even replacing some aspect of a system you know by heart is not immune from thinking twice about it. ... [But] the requirements churn (it was called) on the Advanced Automation System was not normal. It was the result of our enchantment with the computer-human interface, the CHI. The new controller workstation, fronted by a 20" by 20" color display, because it was capable of seemingly endles variety of presentations, mesmerized the population of AAS like the O.J. Simpson trial mesmerized the nation... The project was handed over to human factor pundits, who then drove the design. Requirements became synonymous with preferences. Thousands of labor-months were spent designing, discussing, and demonstrating the possibilities: colors, fonts, overlays, reversals, serpentine lists, toggling, zooming, opaque windows, the list is huge. It was something to see. (Virtually all of the marketing brochures - produced prematurely and in large numbers - sparkled with some rendition or other of the new controller console.) It just wasn\'t usable... Rummaging through one of the closets at the far end of the hall on the fifth floor one day, looking for some standards document, I found an envelope left by someone who left the company - as many did after so many years advancing against stone, while the wheels of commerce were accelerating on what everyone referred to as "the outside". It contained "A Brief History Of The Advanced Automation System". It was printed by hand and left, perhaps inadvertantly, or perhaps with the hope that some anthropologist might some day discover it and make a pronouncement. In every important way, it is the truth: "A young man, recently hired, devotes years to a specification written to the bit level for programs that will never be coded. Another, to a specification that will be replaced. Programmers marry one another, then divorce and marry someone in another subsystem. Program designs are written to severe formats, then forgotten. The formats endure. A man decides to become a woman and succeeds before system testing starts. As testing approaches, she begins a second career on local television, hosting a show on witchcraft. An architect chases a new technology, then another, then changes his mind and goes into management. A veteran programmer writes the same program a dozen times, then transfers. The price of money increases eight times. Programmers sleep in the halls. Committees convene for years to discuss keystroking. An ambitious training manager builds an encyclopedia of manuals no one will ever use. Decisions are scheduled weeks in advance. Workers sit in the hallways. Notions of computing begin in the epoch of A, edge toward B, then come down hard on A + B. Human factors experts achieve Olympian status. The Berlin Wall collapses. The map of Europe is redrawn. Everything is counted. Quality becomes mixed with quantity. Morale is reduced to a quotient, then counted. Dozens of men and women argue for thousands of hours: What is a requirement? A generation of workers retire. The very mission changes and only a few notice. Programming theories come and go. Managers cling to expectations, like a child to a blanket. Presentations are polished to create an impression, then curbed to cut costs. Then they are studied. The work spikes and spikes again. Offices are changed a dozen times. Management retires and returns. The contractor is sold. Software is blamed. Executives are promoted. The years rip by with no end in sight. A company president gets an idea: make large small. Turn methods over to each programmer. Dress down. Count on the inscrutability of programming. Promote good news. Turn a leaf away from the sun. Maybe start over.