2 ms·
I might be missing the forest from the tree's. The paper talks about how it seems researches are "hacking" (their word) p-values.If the researchers lack the et
by MollyR 12y ago
I might be missing the forest from the tree's.
The paper talks about how it seems researches are "hacking" (their word) p-values.If the researchers lack the ethics using one form of statistics, what is really stopping them from misusing Bayesian Analysis?
Sidenote: While we are talking about bayesian stuff.
I recently ran into the sleeping beauty problem ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem ) and it showed how different interpretations of an experiment can lead to people believing in two very different answers in an almost religious way. Some people argued this thought experiment shows a clear flaw in bayesian thinking. I'm not sure either way, I'm still thinking about the puzzle.
- Gravityloss 12y agoThat's a cool problem. It took a while to understand the angle. I'd say I'm a halfer. I think the extreme sleeping beauty problem highlights how if you're woken up, it's not any more probable it's a head or a tails awakening, since, for a reason I can't explain, the million tails awakenings "don't accumulate". In a sense, it's like the opposite of the Monty Hall problem, since here the sleeping beauty receives no information whatsoever during the experiment.
- MollyR 12y agoI'd say I'm a halfer too, but a lot of physicists/philosophers say 1/3, and it really bothers me that I can't seem to sync up with world leaders. source : http://rfcwalters.blogspot.com/2014/08/the-sleeping-beauty-problem-how.html http://rfcwalters.blogspot.com/2014/08/the-sleeping-beauty-p...