The concept of singularities and intelligence explosions and unfriendly AI is only starting to become mainstream, even among AI researchers. When asked about t

The concept of singularities and intelligence explosions and unfriendly AI is only starting to become mainstream, even among AI researchers. When asked about the dangers of AI, they mostly talk about the near future and their current work. The dangers of AI do not come from current work in the near future, but human level AIs decades from now. People are talking about two very different things in the same conversations using the same words. As for what expert opinion actually is on this subject, there is a good survey here: http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf We thus designed a brief questionnaire and distributed it to four groups of experts in 2012/2013. The median estimate of respondents was for a one in two chance that high-level machine intelligence will be developed around 2040-2050, rising to a nine in ten chance by 2075. Experts expect that systems will move on to superintelligence in less than 30 years thereafter. They estimate the chance is about one in three that this development turns out to be ‘bad’ or ‘extremely bad’ for humanity.