3 ms·
All game theory results depend entirely on your utility functions. If you set: (value of Russian civilian lives) = 0 (value of the world after nuking Russia)
by unabridged 12y ago
All game theory results depend entirely on your utility functions. If you set:
(value of Russian civilian lives) = 0
(value of the world after nuking Russia) > (value of the world where Russia takes over) * (probability of Russia taking over)
Then game theory would suggest first strike would be best solution.
- unabridged 12y agoBut most people interpreted (value of the world after nuking Russia) to be quite low because Russia would automatically launch a retaliation, and the same vice versa from Russia's perspective. So with this utility game theory predicted the Mutually Assured Destruction standoff that so far has turned out correct.