The problem is that major air disasters are so incredibly rare that whatever happened is by definition enormously improbable. That means the speculative landsca

The problem is that major air disasters are so incredibly rare that whatever happened is by definition enormously improbable. That means the speculative landscape is fantastically broad: http://www.tjradcliffe.com/?p=1364 http://www.tjradcliffe.com/?p=1364 Occam's Razor is only useful when one hypothesis stands out above all the rest in prior plausibility. In the case of major air disasters no such single hypothesis is favoured. Almost any prior, up to but not including "zapped by aliens", is sufficiently likely to be in the running.