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A theory being improbable is probably the best reason not to give it credit. A theory should be accepted only when the null hypothesis is more improbable.
by tbabb 12y ago
A theory being improbable is probably the best reason not to give it credit.
A theory should be accepted only when the null hypothesis is more improbable.
- crimsonalucard 12y agokeywords: "seems improbable" Just because something SEEMS improbable doesn't actually mean it IS improbable.
- gjem97 12y agoWhen the probability describes the likelihood of our data matching a particular theory, there is only "seems improbable". E.g. it seems improbable that there are other yet undetected Pluto-sized objects in the solar system. Is it improbable? No, it's either true that there are such objects or not. As opposed to events that have not occurred. E.g. it seems improbable that ten flips of a fair coin will yield ten heads. Is it improbable? Yes by most definitions of improbable, it is improbable.
- kaybe 12y agoHowever, this requires actually looking at the data and the conclusions drawn from them and not just the conclusions. In many cases, this is not done at the beginning.