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I haven't read the book. From the description on Amazon it seems the investor/mathematician let his emotions come in the way of his investment decisions which l

I haven't read the book. From the description on Amazon it seems the investor/mathematician let his emotions come in the way of his investment decisions which led to him losing money. I think that's a risk we run by providing that human touch, which sometimes may even help us if the software is making stupid decisions. My goal is to build a fully-automated system (no human interference) that makes "confident" decisions based on statistics and hard numbers.

DanBC 12y ago
Your emotional response is telling you that your algorithms won't be affected by emotion. Your emotional response has already caused you to prefer one course of action (algorithms) over another (humans picking stocks). Good luck though! It sounds interesting!
yummyfajitas 12y ago
Your automated system will require human input. I lost a bunch of money in Jan - I saw a huge drawdown, discovered a fixable flaw in my strategy, panicked and closed my positions. Human inputtime - do I close positions and shut down? Had I stuck with the flawed strategy, I'd have made (a small amount of) money. Dont think that you dont need to manage your psychology simply because you are running an algorithm.
- nikhilsaraf9 12y ago
  Yummyfajitas, that's exactly why I do not want human input. Also, I'm not trying to make money on every bet, but to make more money in my winning bets (less fees) than I lose in my losing bets.
  - yummyfajitas 12y ago
    What I'm trying to convey is that you do have human input even for a pure algo strategy. If you acknowledge it exists, attempt to minimize it and manage what remains, you are far less likely to have it cause you problems.
    - nikhilsaraf9 12y ago
      That's fair enough. Total autonomy can be pursued, not necessarily achieved, so better to accommodate and minimize the imperfections
bussiere 12y ago
The problem that we had was "CEO ate babies". You still have to monitor and read the news , because in our case event if event drivent some things can happen that will negate your result. Exemple : Elon musk talk too much before a financial report, or feud beetween china governement and Ali Baba. We still have to monitor the news for this kind of probleme. Even if you automize everything you can't prevent this kind of things. And if you do event driven , you will have to think about this. Regards

DanBC 12y ago

Your emotional response is telling you that your algorithms won't be affected by emotion. Your emotional response has already caused you to prefer one course of action (algorithms) over another (humans picking stocks). Good luck though! It sounds interesting!

yummyfajitas 12y ago

Your automated system will require human input. I lost a bunch of money in Jan - I saw a huge drawdown, discovered a fixable flaw in my strategy, panicked and closed my positions. Human inputtime - do I close positions and shut down? Had I stuck with the flawed strategy, I'd have made (a small amount of) money. Dont think that you dont need to manage your psychology simply because you are running an algorithm.

nikhilsaraf9 12y ago
Yummyfajitas, that's exactly why I do not want human input. Also, I'm not trying to make money on every bet, but to make more money in my winning bets (less fees) than I lose in my losing bets.
- yummyfajitas 12y ago
  What I'm trying to convey is that you do have human input even for a pure algo strategy. If you acknowledge it exists, attempt to minimize it and manage what remains, you are far less likely to have it cause you problems.
  - nikhilsaraf9 12y ago
    That's fair enough. Total autonomy can be pursued, not necessarily achieved, so better to accommodate and minimize the imperfections

bussiere 12y ago

The problem that we had was "CEO ate babies". You still have to monitor and read the news , because in our case event if event drivent some things can happen that will negate your result. Exemple : Elon musk talk too much before a financial report, or feud beetween china governement and Ali Baba. We still have to monitor the news for this kind of probleme. Even if you automize everything you can't prevent this kind of things. And if you do event driven , you will have to think about this. Regards