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I don't buy this at all : "Despite its deceptive simplicity, some of the world’s brightest minds -- MIT professors, renowned mathematicians, and MacArthur “Geni
by vladislav 12y ago
I don't buy this at all : "Despite its deceptive simplicity, some of the world’s brightest minds -- MIT professors, renowned mathematicians, and MacArthur “Genius” Fellows -- have had trouble grasping its answer."
The intuition is simple. Each time you initially pick a door with a goat, you win the car by switching. This clearly happens 2/3 of the time.
- diginet 12y agoThat's not true, as Wikipedia says: "Paul Erdős, one of the most prolific mathematicians in history, remained unconvinced until he was shown a computer simulation confirming the predicted result (Vazsonyi 1999)."
- vladislav 12y agoLol, Paul Erdos was 82 in 1995, which is when Vazsonyi claims they had this conversation, a year before Erdos died. Beyond his advanced age, it's well known that he did amphetamines his whole life and by that point his brain was pretty fried. I guarantee you if you gave the Monty Hall problem to the great Erdos in his primetime he would've thought it trivial.