3 ms·
Because when you ponder this problem, you're considering the probability of two different states. When the host reveals the goat, the state of the problem has
by jnbiche 12y ago
Because when you ponder this problem, you're considering the probability of two different states. When the host reveals the goat, the state of the problem has changed, and so has the probability of choosing a correct answer (it improved).
Your mistake is somehow thinking they are the same state.