The current consensus is that the drought will extend to the Great Plains. See for example this paper (recently discussed at the AAAS meeting): http://advances

The current consensus is that the drought will extend to the Great Plains. See for example this paper (recently discussed at the AAAS meeting): http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/1/e1400082 http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/1/e1400082 This is not a possible shift to an environment with a recent (human-timescale) analogue. If it comes to pass, we will not be able to farm or live in the same places or at the same volumes as we are currently capable of.