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>Neither FN (Le Pen) nor UKIP has any chance of winning power in their respective countries regardless of economic conditions. I wouldn't be too sure about tha
by tsotha 12y ago
>Neither FN (Le Pen) nor UKIP has any chance of winning power in their respective countries regardless of economic conditions.
I wouldn't be too sure about that. I don't know much about FN, but it isn't at all inconceivable UKIP could win an outright majority in the UK.
- alextgordon 12y agoUKIP are unlikely to win seats in London, Scotland, Wales or NI, which are 190 out of 650 seats. That means they'd have to win >71% of the remaining English seats for an outright majority.
- tsotha 12y agoI don't know why you think they can't win seats in those areas, particularly as anti-EU sentiment increases.
- alextgordon 12y agoUKIP won't win in London because London is full of migrants. These migrants are unlikely to vote for their own christmas, so to speak. UKIP won't win in Scotland, Wales, or NI because these areas already have alternative parties (SNP, Plaid Cymru, DUP). Anti-EU sentiment has actually been decreasing as UKIP support increases[1]. In 2013 and before, most people wanted to leave the EU, but now it's more of a wash. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_referendum_on_United_Kingdom_membership_of_the_European_Union#Standard_polling_on_EU_membership https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_referendum_on_United_...
- NotableAlamode 12y agoThis is inconceivable. However, UKIP has an important influence on UK politics even if they only win a few seats in the sense that both major parties are mortally afraid of loosing voters to UKIP. To avoid that, the big parties take some of UKIPs policies on board.