I have no idea. But I will chime in with one factoid I've heard a few times. If you say things like "the false positive rate is 9%", people's intuitions lead

I have no idea. But I will chime in with one factoid I've heard a few times. If you say things like "the false positive rate is 9%", people's intuitions lead them astray, but if you say things like "9/100 healthy people are labeled as sick by this test", then intuitions work much better.