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Your previous point was about marginal businesses rebounding. My point was that if a marginal business is likely to rebound, they should be able to secure a loa

Your previous point was about marginal businesses rebounding. My point was that if a marginal business is likely to rebound, they should be able to secure a loan or investment to get them through a price shock, such as an increase in the cost of goods sold, or a fall in demand, or an increase in overhead. Perhaps we differ in our understanding of the meaning of "marginal business"? Do you anticipate that a book store operating at the margins of profitability will weather all price shocks, legislated or otherwise, indefinitely? I do not. I would consider a marginal, struggling business's demise to be inevitable unless it is able to recover and become a thriving enterprise. A particular price shock may be the last one the marginal business is able to weather, but it's more like the last wave in a long storm drowning a business, not a bullet to the head. You can blame that last wave, but the truth is that at some point, you need to be able to float. Regarding the impossibility of predicting how long this business might continue with no meaningful profit margin: I would argue that Poisson distributions are pretty well understood at this point.

stickfigure 12y ago
if a marginal business is likely to rebound, they should be able to secure a loan or investment This is not necessarily true. A more accurate statement would be: If a business is likely to repay an investor at a reasonable market rate (discounted for risk), it should be able to secure a loan or investment. These are not necessarily the same thing, especially in a business where "success" may be defined by the owners as merely holding a steady state. Borderlands is a labor of love for the owner, but we cannot expect investors to feel likewise. You seem to have a very "industrial" view of business. It's my anecdotal observation that many sole-proprietorship lifestyle businesses are run with less-than-perfectly-rational economic motives. Borderlands is clearly like this. While this does not optimize for macro statistics like GDP, it does seem to optimize for the happiness of the people involved, which is why I think it's a shame that it's being arbitrarily forced under. An 18% increase in total expenses is not just a wave, but a tsunami.

stickfigure 12y ago

if a marginal business is likely to rebound, they should be able to secure a loan or investment This is not necessarily true. A more accurate statement would be: If a business is likely to repay an investor at a reasonable market rate (discounted for risk), it should be able to secure a loan or investment. These are not necessarily the same thing, especially in a business where "success" may be defined by the owners as merely holding a steady state. Borderlands is a labor of love for the owner, but we cannot expect investors to feel likewise. You seem to have a very "industrial" view of business. It's my anecdotal observation that many sole-proprietorship lifestyle businesses are run with less-than-perfectly-rational economic motives. Borderlands is clearly like this. While this does not optimize for macro statistics like GDP, it does seem to optimize for the happiness of the people involved, which is why I think it's a shame that it's being arbitrarily forced under. An 18% increase in total expenses is not just a wave, but a tsunami.