Of course, but not the timing. The story around the bomb is that it convinced the Japanese to surrender without a land invasion of the home islands. Certainly

Of course, but not the timing. The story around the bomb is that it convinced the Japanese to surrender without a land invasion of the home islands. Certainly if we didn't have a large conventional military, which is pretty much the exact same as saying the Japanese were winning the war, then they wouldn't have been surrendering, since countries don't surrender just before winning (usually). The question is whether they surrendered specifically out of fear of nuclear weapons, or weather it was because the Soviets invaded Manchuria. I'm sure neither was great news, but it is not clear why they would be especially worried about the Soviets declaring war, I mean they were at war with us and not surrendering for years, and we had 108 Aircraft Carriers!