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If I'm understanding the article correctly, this seems correct. Of the many models almost everyone chose to emphasized the models with the more extreme output.

by spikels 12y ago

If I'm understanding the article correctly, this seems correct. Of the many models almost everyone chose to emphasized the models with the more extreme output. Different parties had different motivations: selling news, avoiding political blame... Interesting things happen when science meets human nature. Science rarely wins especially if there is uncertainty.

jeffreyrogers 12y ago
> Science rarely wins especially if there is uncertainty. I agree 100%. One of the most interesting books I've read lately has been The Black Swan by Nassim Taleb, which deals with this at length (ostensibly it is about unpredictability in financial markets, but the implications are far broader than that).