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This is really bullish. I wonder what skin he has in game? As author states, uber can do best where owner drives fewer than 10k miles per year. What about al
by xivzgrev 12y ago
This is really bullish. I wonder what skin he has in game? As author states, uber can do best where owner drives fewer than 10k miles per year.
What about all the rural locations, or people who like to go on long trips?
And I think 50 cents per mile is extremely generous I think uber will charge more than that. Isn't IRS reimbursement rates something like 55 cents per mile? That's basically to cover costs not make any profit.
- gaius 12y agoIt's a big assumption that Uber will be around next year, let alone in 10.
- jerf 12y agoJust strip out the word Uber. I wouldn't assume it will be "Uber" that wins either. Once the self-driving space heats up it's going to be piled into by a ton of entities and there's no guaranteeing the outcome. For that matter I won't promise you 2025. But I will say that if self-driving cars truly do become practical it will rewrite the economy in a lot of ways, and that if you stop and think and analyze, a lot of them aren't that difficult to guess, IMHO. For instance, that the nature of the capital expenditures will heavily favor "renting" over "owning" once we can easily rent on-demand is just obvious. A lot of this other stuff is too, really. Of course, painting a full picture or correctly guessing timelines is essentially impossible. But some of the broad sketch isn't that hard.