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Hmm, I’ve heard multiple people talk about jumping in during the housing bubble because they thought if they didn’t buy right then the price would keep going up
by Chathamization 12y ago
Hmm, I’ve heard multiple people talk about jumping in during the housing bubble because they thought if they didn’t buy right then the price would keep going up. And I’d say that there’s pretty good evidence that people will buy things sooner if they think that waiting would entail a price increase (which is why sales are so effective).
So if people are expecting the price to rise, they’re more likely to make a purchase, and if they aren’t expecting the price to rise they’re less likely to. I don’t think it’s too much of a jump to think that if the price of something is going to go down next week, people are more likely to hold off on purchases.
Though I imagine a bigger issue is the need for investment. When there’s stagnation firms tend to sit on a lot of cash, because they believe that money slowly losing value (low inflation) or even gaining value (deflation) is preferable to the few and possibly risky investment opportunities they see. This causes credit and investments to dry up. This hording behavior, as well as the wage inflexibility mentioned above, ends up being a major drag on the economy. On the other hand, with a decent rate of inflation firms are going to be making sure that their money is working, because if it’s just sitting there it’s going to be losing money year after year.