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I don't agree that this is reversion to the mean. If we saw it be the case that school districts with particularly good outcomes one quarter were more likely to
by savanaly 12y ago
I don't agree that this is reversion to the mean. If we saw it be the case that school districts with particularly good outcomes one quarter were more likely to have a decline in performance the next quarter independent of all observables, THAT would be reversion to the mean.
If there is a statistically significant difference in outcomes between charter schools and non-charter then I don't think we can dismiss it on the grounds you state.
But you did bring up an excellent point in the self-selection bias. We are potentially comparing apples and oranges if the charter schools get a different sort of student to teach.