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Last I heard they gave a 50/50 chance of landing the first stage...so quick poll: do you think they'll do it?!
by AliCollins 12y ago
Last I heard they gave a 50/50 chance of landing the first stage...so quick poll: do you think they'll do it?!
- AliCollins 12y agoYes!
- omegant 12y agoYes!
- chadpaulson 12y agoYep.
- pavelrub 12y agoFrom Musk's AMA on reddit: Q: Previously, you've stated that you estimate a 50% probability of success with the attempted landing on the automated spaceport drone ship tomorrow. Can you discuss the factors that were considered to make that estimation? A: I pretty much made that up. I have no idea :)
- AliCollins 12y agoFantastic! Give the man a fag packet to write on the back of and we'll see what he comes up with next!!
- TeMPOraL 12y agoTo be honest, 50% probability is the definition of "I have no idea" ;).
- chiph 12y agoThey've shown they can land on a fixed pad with their rockets. I think the critical factor will be what the wave action will be like. If the barge comes up at the exact time one of the landing legs is coming down -- things could go badly.