2 ms·
Likelihood ratio not strong enough at this point. There's a reason why physicists don't go with the usual p-value of 0.05, and that's because, at that level, m
by Eliezer 17y ago
Likelihood ratio not strong enough at this point. There's a reason why physicists don't go with the usual p-value of 0.05, and that's because, at that level, most of your results are coincidence. If you really take your science seriously, 0.0001 is a reasonable level.
Big kudos to the study authors for graphing the likelihoods in explicitly Bayesian terms, so that the above is fairly clearly spelled out. They've found something that's worthy of further investigation, just in case. But for now, I'd take bets at pretty heavy odds in favor of this not going anywhere.