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In the short term, self-driving is going to be an optional activity, not an always-on activity. So for most drivers who have it, it will simply be a luxury. Cer
by cgriswald 12y ago
In the short term, self-driving is going to be an optional activity, not an always-on activity. So for most drivers who have it, it will simply be a luxury. Certainly there will be services, but it may or may not be cost effective. We already have the option to schedule a car service every day at 8 am, yet most of us drive. Some of us have the option of busses and trains, which is more or less the same thing, but again, we opt to drive.
In the long term, your car isn't going to sit outside your office for 8 hours. It's going to pick up the kids, your take-out order from the Chinese place across town, and deliver your laundry to a laundry service. People aren't going to travel around in taxis that don't even have the benefit of a driver who tries to keep it clean. They're going to want their own space.
There are some caveats and exceptions, certainly. And self-driving vehicles and services may prompt more people to eschew car ownership, but the idea that people won't own or lease these things _in general_ is ridiculous.