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> The probability of the host showing a goat in both cases is 1. Are you familiar with the concept of prior probability? The premise of the meta-riddle is that
by Cushman 12y ago
> The probability of the host showing a goat in both cases is 1.
Are you familiar with the concept of prior probability? The premise of the meta-riddle is that both hosts showed a goat, but one host could have not shown a goat. So there must be a difference in the information conveyed by that goat.
Again, there isn't anything special about this problem, it's just how probabilities work. Respectfully-- there are a number of different people trying to explain this to you in different ways, and you can verify it on Wikipedia. Are you positive you do understand the math?
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]