3 ms·
"If 100 candidates know the firm name, word will leak out. If only 5 do, then perhaps not" I would imagine that after a certain inflection point, p(leak) scale
by jonnathanson 12y ago
"If 100 candidates know the firm name, word will leak out. If only 5 do, then perhaps not"
I would imagine that after a certain inflection point, p(leak) scales exponentially as n(people you've told) scales linearly. Obviously your probability of a leak is extremely high if you've told 100 people -- but after a certain number n, practically speaking, your probability is high enough. That n might be as few as 5 people, or as many as 50, but it's probably pretty low.
- thesteamboat 12y agoSince probability is between 0 and 1, more likely is that the odds of a leak scale exponentially.
- jonnathanson 12y agoYou're right. I caught that, as well, and corrected my wording in mid-edit. (I do a lot of after-the-fact editing. Force of habit).
- mathattack 12y agoDefinitely not linear. I'm pretty sure it's similar math to "If X of your friends have seen Viral Junk Z, then you most likely will have too." That's why I chose two very far apart #s. :-)