Gottman is selling just-so stories. His "predictors" aren't actually predictors, but classifiers. In machine learning terms, he gets his amazing results ("can

Gottman is selling just-so stories. His "predictors" aren't actually predictors, but classifiers. In machine learning terms, he gets his amazing results ("can predict which couples will stay together in just five minutes!") only on the training set, which as anyone with machine learning experience knows, is trivially easy: you can get 91% accuracy on training data consisting of random numbers in many cases. Reference: http://www.slate.com/articles/double_x/doublex/2010/03/can_you_really_predict_the_success_of_a_marriage_in_15_minutes.html http://www.slate.com/articles/double_x/doublex/2010/03/can_y...