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The Affordable Care Act: Who Was Helped Most
- BrianEatWorld 12y agoSeems like either a poor headline or the wrong metric. I am insured now, but as someone who was rationally uninsured, I don't think I am better off. While I am only one person, the assumption that insurance necessarily makes someone better off seems a bit spurious. Are there any metrics on whether the cost of insuring the same person has gone down? Wasn't that meant to be one of the benefits? Edit: Did some digging and it looks like a more comprehensive review of the stats can be found here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/10/27/us/is-the-affordable-care-act-working.html As for my own question, it does look like the majority of the markets will see prices increases.
- 01Michael10 12y agoRationally uninsured? Care to explain your circumstances? I don't think it was meant to reduce the cost of insuring someone but to reduce the rate of the increases. Remember how fast health insurance premiums were going up in the late Bush and early Obama years? To answer the headline of the article I did not read... The health insurance companies?
- BrianEatWorld 12y agoI have catastrophic insurance to cover unexpected circumstances and enough money in an account to handle normal, day-to-day healthcare. In setting up my finances in this way, I am able to cover myself and not have to fork over a premium every month. This has saved me thousands of dollars over the years, if I compare the current premium I am obligated to pay with my previous strategy of putting money into an account. True insurance is a hedge against risk, I looked at my risks and made the rational decision that covering myself was the better decision. Its not for everyone and so I don't want to generalize. I just offer it as anecdotal evidence that while increasing the percentage of the population that is insured, may be a nice easy metric to measure and affect, it is not necessarily an indication of improving situations for all Americans.
- avoutthere 12y agoThis has been my approach as well, but effective December 31 my insurance provider will be prohibited from offering a catastrophic-only policy, so I'll likely be completely uninsured come the end of the year. The Affordable Care Act will have priced me out of the market.
- DennisP 12y agoJust the other day I price-compared a catastrophic plan with Bronze plans, and the difference was about $20/mo. That's just an anecdote, a more important point is that if you buy through the exchange, you get subsidized if you're really too poor to pay the premiums on your own. The people really getting screwed are the people in the Medicaid gap, in states where Republicans refused the Medicaid expansion.
- bluthru 12y ago>but as someone who was rationally uninsured It's not rational for anyone to be uninsured. Any healthy person could get in an accident.
- sp332 12y agoAnd we should all play the lottery because we might win? If the expected value https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value is lower than the cost, then you rationally shouldn't buy it.
- defen 12y agoThe utility of money is non-linear though. It can be worthwhile to pay a small amount of money in order to prevent a non-zero probability of losing a large amount of money, even if the expected value in terms of dollars is negative.
- pranjalv123 12y agoThe expected value of insurance is always lower than the cost, that's why someone sells it. The reason you buy insurance is to protect against catastrophic events, which are impossible to predict on an individual basis.
- 01Michael10 12y agoNo... Hey, if you don't want to buy health insurance fine but... Don't show up at a hospital when you are sick or hurt to drive up the cost for everyone else. Deal? Personally, I am single payer type person. Cut the middle man insurance companies right out of the equation. EDIT: Why is my comment being downvoted?
- sp332 12y agoSingle payer probably looks good on paper, but I would never trust someone with that much money and power.
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- danielnaab 12y ago> As for my own question, it does look like the majority of the markets will see prices increases. Health spending was growing at an average of 7.2% / year from 1990-2008, vs an estimated 3.6% in 2013. Certainly the slowdown is the result of more than just the ACA, but this is the relevant metric one should use when measuring its success at cost containment, not the fact that almost everything gets more expensive from one year to the next. http://content.healthaffairs.org/content/early/2014/08/27/hlthaff.2014.0560 http://content.healthaffairs.org/content/early/2014/08/27/hl...
- tptacek 12y agoDid you have $20,000 socked away to cover appendicitis? (If you've already had appendicitis, insert any of 100 other relatively common highly tractable medical emergencies you haven't had yet). If not: your policy of rationally forgoing insurance was being financed by everyone else in the market. (The $20,000 figure comes from my friend, whose teenager had appendicitis a couple years back).
- brightsize 12y agoAbout five years ago my brother had appendicitis and, since he'd decided not to buy insurance (which he could have easily afforded), the $17K came out of his hide. So your $ number is about right. Fortunately he was wealthy enough to afford to pay up, but I have no idea what someone for whom $17K was a year's after-tax income would have done.
- maxlybbert 12y agoIndigent care. Please note, "indigent care" only applies to people who truly can't afford the care they need. If you could afford the care you need by moving into a tiny apartment and eating nothing but Ramen noodles for a decade, then you would be expected to do that.
- rdl 12y agoI mostly got burned by ACA -- I had $80-120/mo HSA+HDHP which was awesome, and then got forced into $280/mo inferior coverage (a "Bronze" plan) with fewer doctors. (I ended up canceling all coverage a month later, getting a $750k "insurance, temporary" plan for 364 days at $30-60/mo, and ended up having a job with employer care before that expired.) Now I have employer-provided health care which is "free" but objectively the worst insurance I've ever had (in terms of number of doctors, etc.) HRA rather than HSA, so not very useful there, either. I hate the idea of employer-provided healthcare. If I had "interesting" medical issues, I'd probably just pay for insurance out of pocket vs. sharing health data with an employer. I'm pretty sure my coverage costs employer more than $300/mo, too.
- itbeho 12y agoSimilar experience for me. Had insurance I was happy with. Had the plan forcefully cancelled out from under me. Then found less benefits for more money. Now I can't see one of my doctors without paying cash [1]. Nothing affordable about this for me. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/04/10/obamacare-patients-without-doctors_n_5044270.html http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/04/10/obamacare-patients-...
- tptacek 12y agoIf you're young and relatively healthy and you're not paying out of pocket for at least most of your first year's worth of medical expenses, you're paying too much in insurance premiums. You want an HSA-qualifying high deductible plan, and you want to manage the pool of money that finances the deductible yourself, rather than signing it over to an insurer as a higher premium every month.
- snuxoll 12y agoThis. I'm only saving $100 gross per month right now by getting a HDHP+HSA through my employer, but they also contribute a sizable portion to my HSA each month for the cost they save. Assuming nothing catastrophic happens in the next few years, I will have a sizable pool of money set aside in my HSA earning interest, and I can choose to lower my monthly cost at that point if I want. I should point out that I am also married and have a single child, since routine care is covered even under HDHP thanks to the ACA I don't expect to need to spend much out of my HSA unless something major happens.
- hockeybias 12y ago...I expected to see a list of law firms and lobbyists! :)
- ethana 12y agoWhenever a congressional law passes, just take the opposite view of the Act name and it shall be true. For example, there's nothing affordable about the ACA. My old healthcare plan was eliminated and replaced with a more expansive and less beneficial because of ACA regulations. Then for people who are forced into ACA plans, they'll have their rates raised conveniently after the Nov 4 midterm elections...
- hawkice 12y agoSo, I was going to make the point that this is only true for the controversial bills (a point worth making -- most laws are tremendously boring), but scrolling through the laws passed by this congress I found an example that makes your point perfectly: Violence Against Women Reauthorization Act of 2013 It turns out this law doesn't authorize or reauthorize ANY violence against women. It seems to do the exact opposite of what it says -- it is primarily about _punishing_ violence against women. That is all, continue being outraged. I'm sorry your insurance costs more, that does suck.
- herge 12y ago> more expansive and less beneficial Really? Reporters and politicians have searched for these mysterious slighted people who have had their premiums go up for the exact same plan. You should call the O'Reilley factor, you could be a star! A lot of people could not buy crippled insurance plans with insanely high deductibles and severe limits on coverage, because those were outlawed by the plan. Also, some people were bumped from subsidized plans to fend on the open market, but that's shitty employers taking advantage of their employees, and not the fault of the ACA. Finally, with the heavy subsidies to your premiums, the same plan usually cost less under the ACA. You could however talk about the cost of insurance in 5 years when the subsidies start to wear off, but, hey, I imagine the republican leadership has plenty of ideas to help the common folk with that.
- WarDekar 12y agoI would imagine most/all young (under 35 - I'm 30, personally, and had same experience as GP), self-employed people making a decent amount of money (such that they don't get subsidies) have had this experience. The plans never match up fully, but I had a high deductible "catastrophic" plan pre-ACA and for the equivalent coverage I a.) had to apply for an exemption to even get the "catastrophic" plan through ACA and b.) it still cost significantly more for a higher deductible. Now as you note I do get certain benefits with this plan I didn't get with my other one- namely a couple doctors visits a year when my other one was only one every 2- but I had a catastrophic plan for a reason and my premium more than doubled under the ACA. Beneficial to me (and likely the GP) is being able to pay only for coverage we actually want- not additional "benefits" that we don't plan on using and would rather pay out of pocket for.
- anesmike 12y agoMy rates increased 40 percent for a HDHP+HSA bronze care plan with no preexisting. So, you can say I'm am one of the ones that really got screwed with ACA.
- infinite8s 12y agoNo you didn't. Just that your future risk was finally accurately priced into your premiums (whereas before you would likely have just been dropped if something drastic happened).
- etrautmann 12y agoI'm skeptical of the existing comments in this thread - they strike me as too on message to be four separate individuals with identical concerns.
- defen 12y agoYou think the person with 27,254 comment karma on a 2,304 day old account, with identifying info in his profile is posting anti-ACA comments as part of some conspiracy?
- phkahler 12y agoI have not looked at this particular case, but if you have an agenda to push, it makes sense to take time to establish a solid looking reputation. Also, high "comment karma" means lots of activity. There have been times on HN when I noticed similar things and wondered...
- forkandwait 12y agoMy wife and I want to start an astroturfing tracker website. Perhaps we have a few candidates? A ShowHN someday?
- sunetos 12y agoI agree with your observation, but in this case, it makes sense. As someone with a permanent preexisting condition, I am the only person I know that benefited from the ACA. Huge portions of my family and friends were impacted very negatively. Many of them had their rates go up 30-40% and ended up with worse insurance plans. I am a bit bothered that the NYTimes chose to ignore a wealth of data for a major current societal problem, and just cherry-pick some category that ended up "better" to make a map and article.
- bluthru 12y agoCompare this map to states that accepted or refused Medicaid expansion: http://i.huffpost.com/gen/1119617/thumbs/o-MEDICAID-EXPANSION-UNINSURED-570.jpg?1 http://i.huffpost.com/gen/1119617/thumbs/o-MEDICAID-EXPANSIO...
- jordanpg 12y agoI don't know much about the politics or economics of the health insurance industry, but I'm pretty sure if you're posting on HN, you're not part of the group the law was enacted to help. It was never claimed that it would make healthcare cheaper or better for everyone. We have options. Yes, I'm sure there are some true rags to riches stories around here; but we're talking about right now. I am grateful and lucky to have the background and skills to be able to take for granted that I can afford health insurance. Moreover, since it's not socialized, I'm happy to pay for it. I don't worry about finding bottom dollar on this particular thing.
- logicalmind 12y agoI don't really understand this comment. If you're posting on HN you probably care about startups. And generally, startups don't or can't provide health insurance to their early employees. Which leaves the startup game to the very young and very healthy. The ability for everyone else to have the opportunity to leave their existing job (aka healthcare source) and strike out on their own should surely increase due to this.
- tptacek 12y agoWow is this ever wrong. Guaranteed issue is an enormous win for entrepreneurs. When you work for your own tiny company, you obtain insurance on the individual private market. Prior to the ACA and its guaranteed issue rule, insurers routinely denied coverage to family members based on cryptic "DO NOT COVER" condition lists. Coverage denial didn't merely mean the insurer wouldn't cover a particular worrisome condition (which is bad enough) --- it was a blanket denial of any coverage at all. Young male entrepreneurs didn't run into this problem because they were male, which conveniently dodges more than half of the "DO NOT COVER" list, and because they usually don't yet have families. But cross 30, get married, have a kid, time travel back to 2007 and try to insure your family. You'll see, like I did, how helpful the ACA is for startup founders.
- humanrebar 12y agoAnd if you own or work for a startup, are under 27, and have middle-class-or-richer parents, you obviously benefit as well.
- DennisP 12y agoAnyone who wants to work freelance or do a startup, rather than work for an employer, and who has any sort of preexisting condition, is definitely helped a lot. People here are complaining that their insurance got pricier. The reason is that insurers aren't allowed to exclude sick people anymore. If you ever get chronically sick, you'll appreciate this change.
- Someone1234 12y agoIt actually makes health insurance worth a damn now. Before if you had minor medical stuff insurance was there. But as soon as you got legitimately sick (e.g. cancer) they quite literally went back through every form you ever filled out looking for an error, typo, or omission in order to cut you. Worse still they actually designed forms to increase the chance of error for exactly this reason. Did you ever wonder why you have to sign it three different times on different pages? That is why. Plus if you got laid off previously you were in deep trouble since your new employer's insurance company would reject you and you'd struggle to work while sick regardless. Honestly Obamacare improved things decently. Only short-sighted greedy people are unhappy. Next challenge: Unlink health insurance completely from employment. Health insurance from your employer is bad for everyone. It reduces consumer choice (e.g. you have the "choice" to either go with the company your employer picked or nothing), and it makes SMBs much less competitive than large corporation. Startups in particular struggle to offer employees health insurance even if they can afford to offer a competitive income (as they pay disproportionately more for health insurance than a much larger company). At least an argument can be made for why the "public option" (nationalised health care) is a bad idea, I've heard no good arguments for why unliking employment from health care is. Except "I get really good healthcare right now and I am too lazy to shop around for it." The only organisation that should be allowed to offer their own health insurance/care is the US military, and that is more for practical reason.
- jordanpg 12y agoWell put. Unfortunately, too many people can't get past "the government is taking my money". It is a bizarre consequence of our modern politics that so many have become so enchanted with this mantra, as if there is "correct" portion of each dollar that should go to the government, and whatever is currently being taxed is too much, regardless of what needs to be or should be paid for.
- marknutter 12y agoDidn't it really just increase the number of insured people primarily because of broad expansions of medicaid and medicare?
- oldspiceman 12y agoHave any states attempted to take control of medical care and negotiate doctor wages / drug prices? Works reasonably well for Canadian provinces. There's got to be a reason it hasn't been done in the states. What is it?
- incision 12y agoIf your rates went up, but your previous coverage was never actually put to the test in a serious way you might want to consider the very real possibility that the old plan never would have paid out [1]. "Since insurance companies now won’t be allowed to collect premiums while you’re healthy only to yank coverage when you get sick, they have no choice but to pre-emptively cancel plans that wouldn’t be financially beneficial to actually pay out." 1: http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2013/11/obama_said_you_can_keep_your_plan_an_unwise_promise_that_the_president_was.html http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2013/11/obam...
- alukima 12y agoYep. My employer based insurance was cheap but they dropped me when I got cancer. They wouldn't have covered much anyway I later found out.
- paul9290 12y agoSo as a freelancer I was paying $140 a month with a $500 deductible. Now with Obamacare I am paying $260 for the same level of coverage. How is that helpful to me? I'd love to hear some positive stories, because I'm just paying more and making less in my pocket, while people who don't work are getting health care for free.
- tptacek 12y agoOne way to think about it is that you're paying an extra $120/mo for protection against rescission. Another way to think about it is that you're paying $120/mo for the guarantee that you'll be able to obtain coverage for your spouse and children in the future. That guarantee did not exist at any price prior to ACA. I'm not sure how to respond to your last point, because people who don't work have always received health care for free. The backstop for health care financing has never been "no health care". The backstop is bankruptcy, which isn't an issue for the unemployed poor. By extending health care to people who can't afford it, the ACA has probably lowered your costs over the long term. That's because the most expensive possible way to provide coverage is through emergency room visits, which is how the uninsured obtain coverage.
- hackbinary 12y ago... the most expensive possible way to provide coverage is through emergency room visits, ... By which time a generally very treatable condition has become acute, and then very expensive to treat no matter what.
- snuxoll 12y agoHence why even HDHP include preventative care without meeting your deductible. Everything is easier to treat when it's addressed early, ensuring everyone has access to appropriate care at the correct stage will only benefit the population as a whole over the long-term.
- humanrebar 12y ago...people who don't work are getting health care for free. And some of them would love to work and pay for their own healthcare. But instead of focusing on economic development and employment, the government was debating the ACA. I don't think it's a coincidence that there is massive underemployment out there. The labor force participation rate hasn't been this low since women started leaving the home to work last century. From the article: Critics of the Affordable Care Act have often warned that the program would be unfair to the young because it limits the ability of insurance companies to charge higher rates to older customers, who tend to be sicker. But young adults show the largest reductions in being uninsured of any age group. ...and the young have the highest unemployment rate.
- hackbinary 12y agoYoung, healthy people will get screwed by any mandatory government healthcare system, but my view in general is that having strong government oversight of healthcare is just a good thing. With reference to this Guardian article, the US spends $8,362 (Private individuals, Government, and insurance combined) per person. Contrast that to the UK which spends $3480 per person. While I hate paying taxes just as much as the next person, I do think I get very good value for money for my National Health Service. Universal healthcare is just a good thing. http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2012/jun/30/healthcare-spending-world-country http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2012/jun/30/healthc...
- deciplex 12y agoPlease define "screwed". Paying more than you take out does not count, provided older people are paying less than they take out (I hope I don't need to remind you that young people eventually turn into old people). I mean, it sounds like you're just pointing out that, if health insurance/coverage is mandatory, then you are getting 'screwed' if you don't use the healthcare system. That's like saying I'm getting 'screwed' by public transportation if I own a car.
- hackbinary 12y agoYes, exactly. Similarly old people get screwed by the public Education system. And publicly funded universities and colleges.
- deciplex 12y agoYes, and when your economy is a smoking crater because half the population is illiterate, you can at least take some comfort in the fact that you're not getting screwed by a public education system.
- dmishe 12y agoyou're young and healthy until your first visit to ER without insurance
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- schnable 12y agoAs the map clearly shows, the people who were helped most are all the new people who joined Medicaid when it was expanded.
- sarciszewski 12y agoI can tell you who it hasn't helped: Me. Why? I couldn't afford insurance before, and I sure as heck can't now. For the sake of fairness, it also hasn't hurt me any either. So basically, before the ACA if I got sick, I was doomed. And now if I get sick, I'm equally doomed. But in the long run, things will supposedly get better. Here's hoping for the best.
- trebuchette 12y agoI'll be the dick. On paper, it's helped me, yes (girl problems that would have run $16K by June just mainly for tests): I met an OOP early (yay! Didn't even know what OOP=out-of-pocket WAS!), so after that I didn't have to pay anything until next year! (Who's heard of such a thing?!) But the hospitals/docs didn't file right, or didn't get preauths? Basically, providers aren't getting paid; and while AHCA says "ignore bills you've met your OOP!", I'm seeing bills from people I've never seen before because while a doc was "in coverage area", their test readers weren't, and I've actually been served a DEBT WARRANT (by the police!) now. So basically, I'm paying what AHCA said NOT to pay because I don't want to be sued (hire lawyer, get tripped up in legalese, ...it's just cheaper to PAYOLA); plus, I figure radiologists or labs did their job and should get paid (plus their phone calls are scary). I find the entire thing ridiculous, but the debt warrant is scary. NGL.
- lawnchair_larry 12y agoWhat is a debt warrant? Isn't this a civil matter?
- trebuchette 12y agoI have no idea; IANAL. All I know is a "local" (not really) doc says I owe him money for some tests he ran on a sample, and nobody will pay him. I pay my bills, but I didn't take the sample, wouldn't have known who to send it to even if I had taken the sample, etc. I spent months faxing copies of bills to the doc who took the sample AND to my insurance, then finally the "claimant" had this debt warrant hand-delivered by the po-po to my home! I'm supposed to show up in court (albeit no time soon). I faxed copies to doc and insurance, and (though I wasn't going to, but I chickened out) I gave it to my lawyer.