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What's interesting, is that you called out three technologies that are all definitely going to be market leaders in their particularly category over time. If w
by ghshephard 12y ago
What's interesting, is that you called out three technologies that are all definitely going to be market leaders in their particularly category over time. If we consider IE 11 to be the "Category of Microsoft Browsers", Python 3 to be the Category of Python Languages, and IPv6 to be the category of IP.
Here are the dates on which each will be category leaders:
o IE 11 - 2014
o Python 3 - 2016
o IPv6 - 2022
- rspeer 12y agoI find those years reasonably believable, but where did they come from?
- ghshephard 12y agoIE - I browsed for Market Share. Python 3 - several years of carefully watching mindshare, assessing the challenges with going to Python 3 (mostly the more cognitively complex (if somewhat more consistent) challenges with dealing with Unicode/Strings/Bytes, plus my experience shifting from Python 2 to Python 3, cross referenced with watching new application uptake of Python 3 + 3rd party Library Support). And IPv6 is my full time job. I teach it to a lot of people, and see it deployed all over the world - so I have a pretty good sense of whether it's going to happen (it will), and how long it will take (quite a while, Carrier Grade NAT could actually keep IPv4 going forever)