4 ms·
QE is not intended to "improve the balance sheet of the average person". I have no idea why you think it should. But at a certain point, interest rates are low
by yummyfajitas 12y ago
QE is not intended to "improve the balance sheet of the average person". I have no idea why you think it should.
But at a certain point, interest rates are low enough that lending is limited by the lack of creditworthy borrowers or by bank capital requirements, and so further reductions will have very limited impact.
You are correct - at a certain point there are no investments with a positive real rate of return. At this point all further resources should be devoted to consumption regardless of time preferences (interest rates). If consumption desires are also completely satisfied, then you are in a post-scarcity economy.
Almost by definition [1], when you reach that point, you are NOT in a recession.
What's the relevance?
[1] The technical definition of a recession is 2 quarters of negative growth, but for theoretical purposes it generally means a period when real resources are not fully utilized.
- bokonist 12y agoThe purpose of QE is to create inflation. Inflation means that prices of goods and labor go up. The only reason prices go up is if consumers or employers bid up prices. What has never been explained in a satisfying way to me, is how QE results in consumers or employers deciding to bid up the price of goods, in a situation where interest rates are not the limiting reagent in lending decisions at the margin. At a certain point there are no investments with a positive real rate of return. If consumption desires are also completely satisfied, then you are in a post-scarcity economy. Almost by definition [1], when you reach that point, you are NOT in a recession. You don't have to be in a post-scarcity economy to have no lending opportunities at the margin. It is also very possible to have no additional lending opportunities, at any positive interest rate during a recession. This is especially so with the way that capital requirements work. If a bank doesn't have adequate capital ratios, they cannot lend, no matter what the rates.