It's similar to a bonus for making the correct prediction. Obviously one would need independent validation that the scientist's prediction was correct. It wou

It's similar to a bonus for making the correct prediction. Obviously one would need independent validation that the scientist's prediction was correct. It wouldn't be sufficient for scientists to make predictions based on the work of others since the tools and so forth available to the candidate would not necessarily be widely accessible. However, once a scientist has 1) made a prediction, 2) demonstrated that their prediction holds out, and 3) that it is independently verified, then they should get rewarded at a rate above that of their peers who make predictions that don't hold out. Edit: "prediction" in the above is easily replaced by "hypothesis".