I also wonder if the situation isn't further complicated when you consider accuracy of diagnoses. A snippet from wikipedia: "It is estimated that between 10-15

I also wonder if the situation isn't further complicated when you consider accuracy of diagnoses. A snippet from wikipedia: "It is estimated that between 10-15 percent of physician diagnoses are erroneous" [1], which is apparently attributed to overconfidence. This would probably have a larger effect in conjunction with treatments having a higher NNH (number needed to harm). In any case, I suspect that the push for (a more) evidence-based medical science will only have positive effects, and thanks for your information! [1] Berner, E.S., and M.L. Graber. "Overconfidence as a cause of diagnostic error in medicine." American Journal of Medicine 121 (2008): S2-S23.