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Well put. A 'predictive model' should say 'if you do X then you will end up with Y' - and the X cannot be adjusting some number. The X has to be stuff like 'bu
by quarterwave 12y ago
Well put.
A 'predictive model' should say 'if you do X then you will end up with Y' - and the X cannot be adjusting some number. The X has to be stuff like 'building ETU's in West Africa', or 'canceling all flights',... A predictive model should be able to say 'don't bother canceling flights, it's no use - instead do this...'.
Note: I'm going to be teaching a course in Erlang programming next month where the homework assignment is epidemic modeling - 100K's of concurrent processes moving around, getting exposed to each other - that sort of stuff. Rather ambitious, but I feel it's a good use case for Erlang - a pandemic is a 'viral' chat application.
- tjmaglio 12y agoIs the course your teaching going be a MOOC or will the assignments be posted publicly? I'd love to try that assignment myself.
- quarterwave 12y agoCourse is classroom format. i will post the assignment on github.
- sieisteinmodel 12y ago> A 'predictive model' should say 'if you do X then you will end up with Y' - and the X cannot be adjusting some number. The X has to be stuff like 'building ETU's in West Africa', or 'canceling all flights',... A predictive model should be able to say 'don't bother canceling flights, it's no use - instead do this...'. This is just wrong. A predictive model does not necessarily have any "action" input. Example: weather forecast.