strict quarantine would be effective, if brutal way of containing the outbreak With a lengthy incubation time, and in an area that's just emerging from several

strict quarantine would be effective, if brutal way of containing the outbreak With a lengthy incubation time, and in an area that's just emerging from several decades of civil war quarantine isn't going to happen. The best hope is that there will soon be a vaccine, preferably before the plague reaches Calcutta, Karachi, Jakarta or Johannesburg. It's not unrealistic, the virus mutates only slowly, and India did get on top of smallpox; there is historical precedent for this approach to work. Quarantine has never been successful during wartime. The Attic plague happened in the middle of a war.