From the sampled individuals, they calculated: P(die within 5 years | healthy sense of smell in 1st test) = 0.1 P(die within 5 years | moderate sense of smell

From the sampled individuals, they calculated: P(die within 5 years | healthy sense of smell in 1st test) = 0.1 P(die within 5 years | moderate sense of smell in 1st test) = 0.19 P(die within 5 years | bad sense of smell in 1st test) = 0.39