3 ms·
Despite what you write above, and the attention being paid to ebola, the infection is growing, not shrinking (each ebola patient infects, on average, more than
by URSpider94 12y ago
Despite what you write above, and the attention being paid to ebola, the infection is growing, not shrinking (each ebola patient infects, on average, more than one other person). Reasonable (not breathless) forecasts show the number of infected individuals growing to over 100,000 within a few months, and the CDC could see it growing to over a million cases by early 2015.
Further, this is a disease with a 50% mortality rate, and no verified treatment other than palliative care (even ZMAPP, the supposed magic bullet, did not save at least two patients who were treated).
I think we have good reason to be concerned.
- tjohns 12y agoThe CFR (case fatality rate) in this outbreak is actually closer to 71% once adjusted for time between case onset and resolution. It only looks like 50% at first glance because people are catching the disease so quickly that the number of deaths hasn't had time to catch up. Source: http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1411100 http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1411100