3 ms·
Oddly - I'm about to roll out my own prediction market next month. Does anyone know if they have tried something like this before?
by Stronico 12y ago
Oddly - I'm about to roll out my own prediction market next month. Does anyone know if they have tried something like this before?
- pcarolan 12y agohttp://home.inklingmarkets.com/ http://home.inklingmarkets.com/ is a YC2006 company that offers crowd predictions as a saas.
- _delirium 12y agoI think Foresight Exchange was one of the first ones: http://www.ideosphere.com/ http://www.ideosphere.com/ It's from around 1995 or 1996, as you can probably tell from the site design.
- shawn-butler 12y agoYes it was a total and utter failure as I recall: ipredict.msnbc.com http://web.archive.org/web/20080820025756/http://ipredict.msnbc.com/ http://web.archive.org/web/20080820025756/http://ipredict.ms...
- mappu 12y agoI understand prediction markets are illegal in some countries, but ipredict.co.nz is very popular here and is often covered in mainstream media.
- eru 12y agoIf you let people predict with play money only, it should be legal in most countries.
- chromaton 12y agoIntrade was a popular one, now closed. The big problem I see is lack of liquidity in the less popular markets.
- adam 12y agoMS has experimented with prediction markets internally off and on. This particular market is being run by David Rothschild who is a researcher at Microsoft. He's run the site http://predictwise.com http://predictwise.com for quite some time and done a really nice job with it. I've met David in person and he's an uber smart guy with some really good ideas. This is a "labs" project for the time being as the name implies, but I wouldn't be surprised to see some of this work make its way in to MS products in one form or another, i.e. embedded prediction market style questions in Sharepoint or MS Project, or even as ad units on Bing to collect a massive pool of forecasts.