3 ms·
Some pollsters ask how likely one is to turn out to vote. Amongst those that do, they weight responses differently. Some will only report those who are 10/10,
by M2Ys4U 12y ago
Some pollsters ask how likely one is to turn out to vote.
Amongst those that do, they weight responses differently.
Some will only report those who are 10/10, 9/10 and 8/10 likely to vote in their topline figures.
Some will multiply the likeliness with the voting intention, so that a 10/10 likely voter would count as a whole vote, a 9/10 likely voter as 9/10ths of a vote and so on.
The UK Polling Report[0] - run by the guy in charge of YouGov, if I recall correctly - is a very useful site for explaining UK polling oddities!
[0] http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/ http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/