3 ms·
I agree, though as in a real market, the betting odds are quite sentiment driven. Maybe more so. Many more people were betting "yes" than "no" (see oddschecker
by tinyman 12y ago
I agree, though as in a real market, the betting odds are quite sentiment driven. Maybe more so.
Many more people were betting "yes" than "no" (see oddschecker). This tended to skew the market towards a higher "yes" probability. At least one high-street bookie said the same thing. They said that they had their books setup effectively gave them a bet on "no".
This means the betting markets were optimistic on "yes". "Yes" was never that likely.