3 ms·

What do similar charts for prior outbreaks like?

• maxerickson 12y ago
  There's never been more than 500 cases: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ebola_outbreaks http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ebola_outbreaks
• throwaway_yy2Di 12y ago
  Here's one of the previous largest outbreak, 2000-2001 in Uganda. (Note unlike the Wikipedia one, it's not cumulative). Looks like a sudden decline in new cases right after a CDC intervention -- very sharp inflection point. The cumulative version would be roughly a sigmoid. http://web.stanford.edu/group/parasites/ParaSites2012/Lassa%20Libby%20Burch/images/LassaEbolaMarburg_LibbyBurch_3-8-2012_img_19.png http://web.stanford.edu/group/parasites/ParaSites2012/Lassa%... http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5005a1.htm http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5005a1.htm Looks like there were about 10 new cases/day at its peak; the current outbreak is at 150/day. A couple things stood out to me: Fourteen (64%) of 22 health-care workers in Gulu were infected after establishing the isolation wards; these incidenses led to the reinforcement of infection-control measures. So that's not novel to the current outbreak at all! During the 4-month outbreak and response period, approximately 5600 contacts in Gulu District were under surveillance for 21 days by approximately 150 trained volunteers.